We are pleased to share our Australian Autumn Climate Outlook Report for 2024.

Authors: Krystelle Ho Andy Casely Valentina Koschatzky

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In this report, we provide a comprehensive overview of the key climate drivers and potential impacts on the region.

Key findings of this report

  • The El Niño phase is weakening after a peak in November.
  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected across Australia, with relatively drier conditions over northern and parts of southeastern Australia.
  • Elevated bushfire risk for parts of southwest WA and central Australia.
  • Tropical cyclone season has been active, there remains a chance of further activity before the traditional end of the season at the end of April.
  • Most models suggest a transition towards a La Niña event by late winter or spring.

View report

Author Information

Krystelle Ho

Krystelle Ho

Catastrophe Risk Analyst Analytics and Insights

Dr. Andy Casely

Dr. Andy Casely

Senior Catastrophe Risk Analyst Analytics and Insights

Dr. Valentina Koschatzky

Dr. Valentina Koschatzky

Senior Research Analyst Analytics and Insights