Authors: Andy Casely Krystelle Ho Valentina Koschatzky
In this report, we provide a comprehensive overview of the key climate drivers and potential impacts on the region.
Key findings in this report
- ENSO neutral conditions to continue with a modest La Niña-like pattern, slightly increasing rainfall risks in northern New Zealand and eastern Australia.
- Wet spring and early summer in parts of southeast Queensland has elevated flood risk.
- Dry, warm, and windy conditions in some southern Australian states have elevated summer-season bushfire risk, notably in western Victoria.
- Tropical cyclone forecast remains close to average in Australian and South Pacific basins.
- Record global temperature in 2024; second-warmest year for Australia, tenth-warmest for New Zealand.
