Key insights
- Whereas once the skills obtained at the start of a career could take you through to retirement, those learned today are likely to be obsolete within just a few years.
- Rapid digital transformation is disrupting the way we work and the skills needed to succeed in our careers.
- In the US, the skills gap currently costs the economy USD1.1 trillion every year, roughly 5% of GDP.1
- Tackling the skills gap requires a new approach focused on continuous and personalized learning and facilitated by AI and learning cultures.
- Overcoming this skills gap also requires new skilling pathways to expedite key career transitions and offer employers a broader range of recruitment options.
Against a backdrop of ongoing automation, the rate at which a learned skill becomes half as useful is getting ever shorter. This means employers need to think differently about training and reskilling.
Whereas once a set of skills could last an entire career, those learned today could become obsolete within a few years. As businesses adapt to the latest phase of digital workplace transformation, the concept of the "half-life" of skills has become a key consideration.
"With the emergence of new technologies, particularly artificial intelligence (AI) and digital automation, we are at an inflection point," says Tamarah Saif, managing director, People Development and Insights at Gallagher. "The pace of change is rapid and organizations must determine how to remain competitive in this dynamic environment by rethinking how they interact with the marketplace and identifying the necessary skills within their organizations to adapt."
Across industry sectors — from transportation to construction — companies are grappling with an increasing shortage of skills and experience.
This shortage is driven by multiple factors, including an aging workforce and competition for talent with other sectors, and is accelerated by digitization and automation trends.
Currently, it's estimated that the cumulative lack of skills is costing the US economy USD1.1 trillion each year — equating to 5% of GDP.1
Addressing skills gaps in this era of rapid change requires a new approach to learning and development, including the need for collaborative action across education and business sectors to design frameworks for learning and transitioning skills more effectively.
"In our ever-changing world, employees are faced with numerous challenges, yet they still seek opportunities for learning and development," says Saif. "Providing them with chances to upskill or reskill is crucial for ensuring they remain relevant.
"Given the decreasing lifespan of certain skills, organizations must recognize the importance of evolving skillsets to remain competitive and relevant and thrive," she adds. "Investment in ongoing learning and development for their people becomes a critical risk management priority."
How digital transformation is accelerating the skills gap
The figure of just five years for the current half-life of a skill has become commonplace since it was first cited in a 2011 book, A New Culture of Learning, co-authored by former Xerox Chief Scientist John Seely Brown.2 However, this figure depends on the relative perishability of skills, falling to as little as 2.5 years in dynamically evolving sectors like IT and data analysis.
The shorter shelf life of learned skills, alongside broader workforce trends — such as an aging workforce — are widening the skills gap across multiple industries, including construction, manufacturing and energy.
According to this year's World Economic Forum (WEF) Future of Jobs report, over the next five years workers can expect, on average, that 39% of their existing skillsets will either be transformed or become outdated.3 And due to macro trends, by 2030 new job creation and job displacement will impact more than one- fifth of today's job roles.
Meanwhile, rapid advancements in frontier technologies and the shift to flexible and remote working continues to change the way we work, communicate and create, leading to different skills needs.
The rapid adoption of digital tools, supply chain shifts and net zero transition are among the macro trends determining the critical skills needed by firms to successfully navigate a dynamic and uncertain economic environment.
How reskilling can support the transition to net zero
The transition from a fossil fuel-driven economy toward a green economy is an epoch-defining shift that will have a significant impact on the economic security of workers in carbon-intensive industry sectors.
It creates the need for a huge program of reskilling. The aim is to ensure a "just transition" to this new era of energy production to meet the needs of emerging green industries and avoid the toxic legacy of neglect and inequity that has accompanied the phasing out of industries like manufacturing, mining and steel production in the past.
The Gallagher Workforce Attitudes to the Net Zero Transition 2024 report revealed a strong appetite among workers to retrain. In those sectors most exposed to the clean energy transition — including oil and gas, mining, transportation, construction and agriculture — 76% of workers were open to retraining and upskilling within their current role.
Addressing the skills gap in AI adoption
As more of the workforce pivots toward using generative AI tools, addressing skills gaps remains a priority for most firms, according to the Gallagher benchmarking study, Attitudes to AI Adoption and Risks. It found that 85% of employers are introducing job protection strategies with a focus on training.