Cyber-attacks have become increasingly sophisticated and frequent, with threat actors employing AI-driven extortion tactics alongside traditional encryption attempts.
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In 2024, cybercrime costs in the UK reached an estimated £38.28 billion ($51.81 billion). Statista, a global data and business intelligence platform, expects this figure to cross the £44.40 billion ($60 billion) mark this year1. The addition of generative AI into the arsenal has also made it easier for attackers to develop and deploy automated and highly personalised phishing attacks.

The cybersecurity landscape is also heavily influenced by geopolitical dynamics, with cyber warfare and espionage becoming critical elements of national security strategies. Targeted supply chain attacks are on the rise as threat actors capitalise on third-party suppliers' cyber vulnerabilities, exploiting the interconnected nature of value chains to reach multiple targets.

However, despite the increasing frequency of cyber breaches, very few organisations have gained a deep understanding of their cyber risk exposure as they try to manage the challenges posed by sophisticated AI-driven cyber-attacks. Today, cybersecurity professionals need to be vigilant, creative and adaptable to stay ahead in a constantly changing field where new vulnerabilities appear as technologies advance.

Developing contingency and recovery plans is essential to better equip organisations against future threats. Therefore, businesses must transform technical security metrics into financial terms that executives understand.

What is cyber risk quantification?

Cyber risk quantification is the process of evaluating the potential financial impact of cyber threats and expressing them in clear business terms. Creating a common language between cybersecurity strategy and business strategy helps integrate cybersecurity decisions into the overall corporate strategy.

Why should businesses quantify cyber risks?

  • It allows them to prioritise their strategic investments. Business leaders gain more control over decision-making
  • It enables the development and implementation of risk mitigation strategies
  • It facilitates the efficient allocation of resources and prioritisation of security measures
  • Quantifying cyber risks ensures businesses stay ahead of emerging threats
  • Cyber risks are effectively communicated across the organisation
  • Business leaders can prioritise spending and evaluate the cybersecurity programme's overall effectiveness

Cyber risk quantification involves assessing both the likelihood and potential impact of a breach using various models and methodologies. It enables security and risk management leaders to align cybersecurity investments with business objectives.

Quantifiable elements of cyber risk

Financial implications

Cyber breaches can cause significant and lasting financial impacts. These costs may include revenue loss due to operational downtime, operational expenses for mitigating the attack and restoring services, reputational damage and loss of customer trust.

By implementing cyber risk quantification, security vulnerabilities can be viewed from a financial standpoint. This can help cybersecurity teams prioritise where to focus to ensure protections are in place and key vulnerabilities are patched.

Regulatory compliance

Compliance with cybersecurity regulations is essential to avoid significant legal and financial consequences. Regulations such as the UK General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) and the Data Protection Act 2018 have set stringent data protection and breach notification standards. Non-compliance can result in fines, litigation and reputational damage. Organisations must ensure they are up-to-date with relevant regulations and implement measures to comply with these standards. Importantly, this includes the encryption and careful storage of sensitive data and information.

Evolving threats and maintaining a cybersecurity stance

With the introduction of AI, the threat landscape continues to evolve in the form of personalised, automated and more sophisticated attacks. Organisations that adopt a proactive stance are more resilient and are better positioned to keep up in this AI arms race.

Continuous monitoring of ongoing risks can help gather insights into the organisation's cyber readiness and foster a culture of security awareness. This includes ongoing staff training to ensure those on the frontline of phishing attacks know what to look out for.

Quantified cyber risk means actionable insights

Risk management and mitigation planning

Effective risk management is essential to quantifying cyber risk since it offers organisations a structured means to analyse, evaluate and adopt strategies for managing risk.

Organisations can conduct threat assessments of various incidents, collating estimates on aggregate damage because of cyber breaches, to implement comprehensive cybersecurity programmes. With actionable data, businesses can design models and develop contingency plans that enable effective management against risk exposure. Proactive risk management reduces financial losses, enhances customer trust and builds business resilience.

Optimised cyber insurance cover

Cyber insurance can provide financial protection against losses resulting from cyber-attacks. Policies typically cover costs related to data breaches, business interruption, legal defence and regulatory fines. Businesses should collaborate with their insurance providers to tailor coverage to their specific needs and ensure they are adequately protected.

Cyber risk quantification can assist organisations in identifying the most significant areas of exposure and determining the appropriate level of protection needed. This process helps formulate a thorough and effective strategy for improving cyber risk management, ensuring that firms show up well in the market at renewal time.

Enhance your cyber risk quantification with Gallagher

"No breach response is ever the same twice and there's always something new that crops up," says Johnty Mongan, head of Gallagher Cyber Risk Management practice in The Hidden Challenges of a Cyber Breach podcast. As cyber-attacks continue to evolve, quantifying the risk of a breach is necessary to make informed decisions.

Gallagher Cyber Defence Centre can help to identify and mitigate cyber threats through tailored solutions that protect you from the financial impact of cyber incidents. By leveraging our expertise, you can deepen your understanding of the current cyber risk landscape and enhance resilience against cyber threats. We also equip businesses with the capabilities to anticipate and counteract sophisticated attacks through comprehensive risk assessments, advanced threat detection technologies and ongoing training programmes.

Contact the Gallagher Cyber Risk Management team for personalised advice and solutions to quantify cyber risks and create contingency or recovery plans. Our specialists will guide you in implementing robust cybersecurity measures and developing a strategic approach to cybersecurity to safeguard your organisation's future.


Sources

1. Petrosyan, Ani. “Estimated annual cost of cybercrime in the United Kingdom (UK) from 2017 to 2028,” Statista, 3 February 2025.


Disclaimer

The sole purpose of this article is to provide guidance on the issues covered. This article is not intended to give legal advice, and, accordingly, it should not be relied upon. It should not be regarded as a comprehensive statement of the law and/or market practice in this area. We make no claims as to the completeness or accuracy of the information contained herein or in the links which were live at the date of publication. You should not act upon (or should refrain from acting upon) information in this publication without first seeking specific legal and/or specialist advice. Arthur J. Gallagher Insurance Brokers Limited accepts no liability for any inaccuracy, omission or mistake in this publication, nor will we be responsible for any loss which may be suffered as a result of any person relying on the information contained herein.