Author: Jeff Covell
February 2026
Looking back at the global equity markets in 2025, even though some trends we've seen for a few years continued, some interesting new changes took place. Here are some 2025 highlights; see the attached whitepaper for analysis.
- US equity markets provided another year of strong performance in 2025. As measured by the S&P 500 index, the market returned 17.9% (on a total return basis), the third consecutive year of double-digit returns.
- The first quarter of 2025 was volatile, followed by a strong rally for the rest of the year driven by the easing of tariff tensions and the Federal Reserve Board reducing interest rates.
- Market concentration continued to increase, and tech domination drove a significant portion of the returns in the S&P 500.
- After more than a decade of underperforming US stocks, international stocks staged a dramatic reversal.
Here are areas to watch as we move forward in 2026:
- US Stock Market concentration
- Impact of tariff policies on US and internationally
- Federal Reserve interest rate policy
- Artificial intelligence and unemployment
- Geopolitical risks