Matching the right strategy to your portfolio objectives

Author: Alex Robinson

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Portable alpha allows institutional investors to achieve their portfolio objectives without having to choose between market exposure and differentiated sources of excess returns.

The mechanics are set out in our earlier article on portable alpha. In short: equity exposure is held synthetically, through futures or similar instruments, which frees up capital that would otherwise fund that exposure. That capital goes to work in a separate, independently managed return stream. The investor keeps the equity allocation and gains a diversifying one alongside it.

This article examines the more practical question of which specific strategies align best with different portfolio objectives.

We consider three alpha components — tail risk hedging, trend following and equity market neutral — which can each play a role depending on what a portfolio is trying to achieve.

We also look at the rebalancing mechanics built into these structures, which in our view is underappreciated as a source of long-run return.

Where does each strategy fit?

Portable alpha maps cleanly onto the risk objectives institutional investors already adhere to. The diagram below sets out three of them. The sections that follow take each in turn.

Tail risk hedging: The first responder

Tail risk hedging is designed to protect a portfolio against severe market shocks. It works like home insurance. You pay a modest premium, most of the time nothing happens and that cost simply passes. But if disaster strikes, the policy pays out when you need it most.

A tail risk strategy behaves in the same way. It incurs a small cost in calm markets and delivers strong positive returns when equity markets fall hard.

Many investors are comfortable with the long-run case for equities but are concerned about a sharp drawdown in the near term. Allocating to a conventional hedging strategy would require you to reduce your equity exposure (or exposure to another asset class) to fund the protection, which means foregoing some returns if the market keeps rising. For investors whose mandates or governance frameworks require a set strategic allocation to certain asset classes, this option may not even be available.

Tail risk hedging, as a portable alpha component, resolves this tension. The market beta remains at full exposure throughout. The alpha layer sits alongside it, funded by the capital freed up from using the synthetic beta structure. It's specifically constructed to generate strong returns during severe equity market stress. The payoff is convex, meaning the strategy gains accelerate as conditions deteriorate. It's during the most extreme drawdowns that it tends to contribute most.

Holding protection against severe market falls isn't free, of course. In normal or rising market environments, the tail risk component will generate flat to negative returns. For many strategies in this space, that drag is the price of the insurance.

In a portable alpha structure, the drag need not weigh on the portfolio in benign markets. In quieter periods, the alpha component should return close to flat while the synthetic equity beta does its job. When stress arrives, the hedge activates and the structure performs as intended.

Trend following: The second responder

Trend following rests on a simple observation: markets often move in sustained directions rather than changing course at random from one day to the next. The strategy identifies when a market, whether equities, bonds, currencies or commodities, has established a clear direction, then positions for that move to continue.

If a market is rising, the strategy holds a position that gains as it rises further. If a market is falling, it can position to profit from the decline. It's a strategy that leans into momentum, staying with a trend for as long as it persists and stepping aside when the direction becomes unclear. Because it can profit from falling markets as well as rising ones, it has historically tended to perform well during prolonged downturns.

Trend following operates quite differently to a tail hedge. Rather than providing immediate, sharp protection during sudden market falls, it adapts simultaneously to sustained moves across asset classes including equities, fixed income, currencies, and commodities. Over weeks and months, as a trend establishes itself, the strategy builds positions in that direction and generates returns from it.

For equity markets specifically, this means trend following tends to perform well during extended bear markets rather than brief volatility spikes. The periods 2000 to 2002, much of 2008, and 2022 are when these strategies historically demonstrated their defensive value.

As equities continued to fall over those periods, trend following strategies were building and holding short positions, generating returns that offset a meaningful portion of equity losses. That is a different risk profile from tail risk hedging, and it matters for the investor more worried about a prolonged downturn than a sudden one.

Trend following also carries positive expected returns across the full market cycle, not just during stress periods. The systematic capture of momentum across asset classes has, over long time periods, generated positive returns. You're therefore not simply paying for insurance during bear markets but accessing a return stream that should contribute over time, with its most powerful contribution coming in the environments that are most difficult for equities.

As with any strategy, there are periods where trend following underperforms. Range-bound markets with frequent reversals are the environment it tends to find most difficult. Investors holding the strategy need a long-term view; the benefits are most visible over full cycles rather than any particular quarter or year.

Equity market neutral: The diversifier

The third use case addresses a slightly different investor problem. Rather than seeking downside protection, this strategy suits investors who want to improve the risk-adjusted return profile of their portfolio without changing their strategic equity allocation.

The constraint is typically a mandate or governance requirement to maintain full equity investment, which limits the ability to add alternatives or other diversifying assets in the conventional way.

Equity market neutral strategies hold long positions in stocks expected to outperform and short positions in stocks expected to underperform, with the net market exposure targeted as close to zero as possible. Returns are driven by the skill of the manager in selecting those positions, not by the direction of the equity market.

In a portable alpha structure, the equity allocation is maintained in full synthetically, while the freed capital funds this market-neutral strategy. The investor ends up with equity beta plus an alpha source that has, in principle, no directional equity exposure at all.

The benefit is an improvement in portfolio diversification. Adding a return stream with low correlation to equities improves risk-adjusted returns over time. Strategies of this type access a range of factor premia, including value, momentum and quality, alongside more systematic, machine learning-driven approaches.

These return sources aren't easily available through conventional long-only mandates. A portable alpha structure provides an efficient route to them without reducing equity exposure.

Equity market neutral isn't a defensive strategy in the conventional sense. If equity markets fall sharply, the alpha component isn't expected to offset that loss. It will do something different; historical evidence suggests that it's uncorrelated to market direction, but it's not a hedge.

Investors whose primary objective is downside protection are better served by one of the first two approaches. This strategy is more suitable for those clients who want an additional source of return on top of the existing equity allocation, while keeping that allocation intact.

Why rebalancing matters

Alongside the properties of each alpha strategy sits a structural feature of portable alpha that we think is underappreciated. The way these structures rebalance between the beta and alpha components adds long-run value.

The basic mechanism is straightforward, though its long-run compounding effect is easy to underestimate. In a portable alpha structure, the beta and alpha components run side by side. During periods of equity market stress, the beta sleeve falls in value while a well-performing alpha sleeve, such as a tail hedge or trend following strategy, rises.

The portfolio ends that period holding less equity, and more alpha, than intended. Rebalancing brings the two back to target by selling some of the alpha gains and using the proceeds to buy additional equity exposure.

The rebalancing happens at exactly the right time. Equity prices have fallen, so the portfolio buys more exposure at lower prices. When the market recovers, as it historically has given sufficient time, the portfolio participates more fully because it held more equity through the recovery than it would have done otherwise. The alpha strategy isn't only protecting capital during the drawdown, but also funding a more advantageous starting position for the recovery.

Run this process through multiple market cycles and the compounding effect becomes meaningful. It's systematically reinvesting those gains into the equity market at the point where long-run value is greatest, rather than simply reducing losses in the bad periods.

This dynamic is most powerful for the first and second responder strategies. A tail hedge that pays out sharply during a sudden equity sell-off creates an immediate rebalancing opportunity, with the gains available to rotate into equities at the point of maximum stress.

Trend following generates its gains more gradually over a sustained downturn, creating a slower moving but equally significant opportunity to accumulate equity exposure as prices continue to fall. In both cases, the alpha is doing double work: reducing the pain of the drawdown and positioning the portfolio for a stronger recovery.

Well-designed structures rebalance monthly as a standard cadence. That frequency captures most of the structural value from divergence between the two sleeves without generating unnecessary transaction costs. More significantly, the managers increase rebalancing frequency during periods of market stress, when the divergence between beta and alpha is largest, and the value of acting promptly is highest. A market that moves sharply over a few weeks and then partially recovers contains multiple rebalancing opportunities that a fixed monthly schedule would miss.

That willingness to act more frequently in those windows is worth testing in any due diligence process. Stress periods are when the rebalancing premium is largest, and a manager positioned to capture it will generate better outcomes over full market cycles than one operating on a fixed calendar.

Our view

We have been evaluating portable alpha strategies for some time and the implementations available today are a marked improvement on those of two decades ago. The broader environment also supports the case for considering these strategies seriously.

The diversification benefit from conventional fixed income has been less reliable in recent years, and finding return streams with genuine low correlation to equities increasingly means moving beyond traditional asset classes. Portable alpha, structured well, offers an efficient route to doing this without any reduction in equity exposure, which makes it accessible to a wider range of investors than many alternatives.

None of this comes without complexity or risk. Derivatives introduce leverage and financing costs that vary with market conditions. Performance in any period depends on both the equity market and the alpha component behaving as expected, and neither is guaranteed.

Implementation quality matters more here than in most allocations: the failures of the mid-2000s were failures of liquidity management and structure, not of the idea itself.

If one of these three objectives describes your portfolio, portable alpha is worth examining in detail. To discuss how it might work within your own structure, please get in touch with our team.

Author Information

Alex Robinson

Alex Robinson

Senior Vice President, Gallagher Investment Research